A study of referral bias in NMOSD and MOGAD cohorts.

BACKGROUND: Neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD) and myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) are rare disorders often seen in highly specialized services or tertiary centres. We aimed to assess if cohort characteristics depend on the origin of the referral catchment areas serviced by our centre (i.e. local, regional or national). METHODS: Retrospective cohort study using a national referral service database including local (Oxfordshire), regional (Oxfordshire and neighbouring counties), and national patients. We included patients with the diagnosis of NMOSD, seronegative NMOSD or MOGAD, followed at the Oxford Neuromyelitis Optica Service. RESULTS: We included 720 patients (331 with MOGAD, 333 with aquaporin-4 antibody (AQP4)-NMOSD, and 56 with seronegative NMOSD. The distribution of diagnoses was similar across referral cohorts. There were no significant differences in the proportion of pediatric onset patients, sex, or onset phenotype; more White AQP4-NMOSD patients were present in the local than in the national cohort (81 % vs 52 %). Despite no differences in follow-up time, more relapsing MOGAD disease was present in the national than in the local cohort (42.9 % vs. 24 %, p = 0.029). CONCLUSION: This is the first study assessing the impact of potential referral bias in cohorts of NMOSD or MOGAD. The racial difference in the AQP4-NMOSD cohorts likely reflects the variation in the population demographics rather than a referral bias. The over representation of relapsing MOGAD patients in the national cohort probably is a true referral bias and highlights the need to analyze incident cohorts when describing disease course and prognosis. It seems reasonable therefore to compare MOGAD and NMOSD patients seen withing specialised centres to general neurology services, provided both use similar antibody assays.

Do Early Relapses Predict the Risk of Long-Term Relapsing Disease in an Adult and Paediatric Cohort with MOGAD?

OBJECTIVE: Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) can be monophasic or relapsing, with early relapse being a feature. However, the relevance of early relapse on longer-term relapse risk is unknown. Here, we investigate whether early relapses increase longer-term relapse risk in patients with MOGAD. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 289 adult- and pediatric-onset patients with MOGAD followed for at least 2 years in 6 specialized referral centers. "Early relapses" were defined as attacks within the first 12 months from onset, with "very early relapses" defined within 30 to 90 days from onset and "delayed early relapses" defined within 90 to 365 days. "Long-term relapses" were defined as relapses beyond 12 months. Cox regression modeling and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were used to estimate the long-term relapse risk and rate. RESULTS: Sixty-seven patients (23.2%) had early relapses with a median number of 1 event. Univariate analysis revealed an elevated risk for long-term relapses if any "early relapses" were present (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.11, p < 0.001), whether occurring during the first 3 months (HR = 2.70, p < 0.001) or the remaining 9 months (HR = 1.88, p = 0.001), with similar results yielded in the multivariate analysis. In children with onset below aged 12 years, only delayed early relapses were associated with an increased risk of long-term relapses (HR = 2.64, p = 0.026). INTERPRETATION: The presence of very early relapses and delayed early relapses within 12 months of onset in patients with MOGAD increases the risk of long-term relapsing disease, whereas a relapse within 90 days appears not to indicate a chronic inflammatory process in young pediatric-onset disease. ANN NEUROL 2023;94:508-517.

Factors Associated With Relapse and Treatment of Myelin Oligodendrocyte Glycoprotein Antibody-Associated Disease in the United Kingdom.

Importance: Longer-term outcomes and risk factors associated with myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) are not well established. Objective: To investigate longer-term risk of relapse and factors associated with this risk among patients with MOGAD. Design, Setting, and Participants: This large, single-nation, prospective cohort study was conducted among 276 patients with MOGAD at 5 health care centers in the UK. Data from January 1973 to March 2020 were collected from 146 patients at Oxford and its outreach sites, 65 patients at Liverpool, 32 patients at a children's hospital in Birmingham, 22 patients at a children's hospital in London, and 11 patients at Cardiff, Wales. Data were analyzed from April through July 2020. Main Outcomes and Measures: Risk of relapse and annualized relapse rate were evaluated according to different baseline features, including onset age, onset phenotype, and incident vs nonincident group, with the incident group defined as patients diagnosed with antibodies against myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein before a second attack. Time to next relapse among patients experiencing relapse was measured and compared between the maintenance therapy subgroup and each first-line treatment group. The no-treatment group was defined as the off-treatment phase among patients who were relapsing, which could occur between any attack or between the last attack and last follow-up. Results: Among 276 patients with MOGAD, 183 patients were identified as being part of the incident group. There were no differences in mean (SD) onset age between total and incident groups (26.4 [17.6] years vs 28.2 [18.1] years), and female patients were predominant in both groups (166 [60.1%] female patients vs 106 [57.9%] female patients). The most common presentation overall was optic neuritis (ON) (119 patients among 275 patients with presentation data [43.3%]), while acute disseminated encephalomyelitis (ADEM), brain, or brainstem onset was predominant among 69 patients aged younger than 12 years (47 patients [68.1%]), including 41 patients with ADEM (59.4%). In the incident group, the 8-year risk of relapse was 36.3% (95% CI, 27.1%-47.5%). ON at onset was associated with increased risk of relapse compared with transverse myelitis at onset (hazard ratio [HR], 2.66; 95% CI, 1.01-6.98; P = .047), but there was no statistically significant difference with adjustment for a follow-on course of corticosteroids. Any TM at onset (ie, alone or in combination with other presentations [ie, ON or ADEM, brain, or brain stem]) was associated with decreased risk of relapse compared with no TM (HR, 0.41; 95% CI, 0.20-0.88; P = .01). Young adult age (ie, ages >18-40 years) was associated with increased risk of relapse compared with older adult age (ie, ages >40 years) (HR, 2.71; 95% CI, 1.18-6.19; P = .02). First-line maintenance therapy was associated with decreased risk of relapse when adjusted for covariates (prednisolone: HR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.12-0.92; P = .03; prednisolone, nonsteroidal immunosuppressant, or combined: HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.28-0.92; P = .03) compared with the no-treatment group. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this cohort study suggest that onset age and onset phenotype should be considered when assessing subsequent relapse risk and that among patients experiencing relapse, prednisolone, first-line immunosuppression, or a combination of those treatments may be associated with decreased risk of future relapse by approximately 2-fold. These results may contribute to individualized treatment decisions.

Clinical Features and Genetic Risk of Demyelination Following Anti-TNF Treatment.

BACKGROUND: Anti-TNF exposure has been linked to demyelination events. We sought to describe the clinical features of demyelination events following anti-TNF treatment and to test whether affected patients were genetically predisposed to multiple sclerosis [MS]. METHODS: We conducted a case-control study to describe the clinical features of demyelination events following anti-TNF exposure. We compared genetic risk scores [GRS], calculated using carriage of 43 susceptibility loci for MS, in 48 cases with 1219 patients exposed to anti-TNF who did not develop demyelination. RESULTS: Overall, 39 [74%] cases were female. The median age [range] of patients at time of demyelination was 41.5 years [20.7-63.2]. The median duration of anti-TNF treatment was 21.3 months [0.5-99.4] and 19 [36%] patients were receiving concomitant immunomodulators. Most patients had central demyelination affecting the brain, spinal cord, or both. Complete recovery was reported in 12 [23%] patients after a median time of 6.8 months [0.1-28.7]. After 33.0 months of follow-up, partial recovery was observed in 29 [55%] patients, relapsing and remitting episodes in nine [17%], progressive symptoms in three [6%]: two [4%] patients were diagnosed with MS. There was no significant difference between MS GRS scores in cases (mean -3.5 × 10-4, standard deviation [SD] 0.0039) and controls [mean -1.1 × 10-3, SD 0.0042] [p = 0.23]. CONCLUSIONS: Patients who experienced demyelination events following anti-TNF exposure were more likely female, less frequently treated with an immunomodulator, and had a similar genetic risk to anti-TNF exposed controls who did not experience demyelination events. Large prospective studies with pre-treatment neuroimaging are required to identify genetic susceptibility loci.

Clinical spectrum of CADASIL and the effect of cardiovascular risk factors on phenotype: study in 200 consecutively recruited individuals.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Cerebral Autosomal-Dominant Arteriopathy with Subcortical Infarcts and Leukoencephalopathy (CADASIL) is an inherited arteriopathy with clinical features that include recurrent lacunar stroke, migraine, and cognitive impairment. For reasons that remain unclear, there is great variability in the clinical expression of CADASIL, both between and within families. This study examined the clinical phenotype as well as any associations with risk factors and genotype in a large, prospective cohort. METHODS: Two hundred symptomatic individuals from 124 families were recruited as part of a UK prevalence study of CADASIL and were seen subsequently in a national referral clinic. All were assessed by a standardized questionnaire and examination. RESULTS: Mean age at assessment was 47.7 years and was 33.6 years at symptom onset. Migraine, usually with aura, was the most prevalent feature, affecting 75% of individuals. More than half had a history of stroke, with a mean age at onset of 46 years. Hypertension (odds ratio=2.57, P=0.007) and pack-years of smoking (odds ratio=1.07, P=0.001) were associated with an increased risk of stroke. A history of stroke was a significant risk factor for both dementia and disability. Mutations clustered in exon 4 of the NOTCH3 gene, which contained > or = 71.4% of familial mutations. Four previously unreported mutations were found (T697C, C1279T, G1370C, and C1774T). No associations were identified between genotype and clinical phenotype. CONCLUSIONS: Our data suggest that cardiovascular risk factors may modulate the clinical expression of CADASIL. The associations with hypertension and smoking suggest that risk factors should be treated aggressively in patients with CADASIL.

Improving service delivery for relapse management in multiple sclerosis.

This action research study was conducted over an 18 month period within a district general hospital. The study has improved the quality of the service provided to people experiencing a relapse of multiple sclerosis. The authors now identify and treat a three-fold increase in relapse patients. At least 85% of these patients are treated within 10 days of reporting symptoms to a specialist nurse. Before the study, only 12% of patients received treatment within this time. The authors' data identify what patients valued about this service and also inform debate around distress associated with relapse and how services should develop to respond to this. The study is of particular importance to the UK because the National Institute for Clinical Excellence (NICE) has published guidance to the NHS about the management of this specific patient group (NICE, 2003). This study also clearly demonstrates how specialist nursing services can combine a substantial clinical role with instigating and managing change in service delivery that results in improvements in patient care.